Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
- Principal Global Investors (PGI) reported strong flows, particularly in institutional real estate and fixed income, and had their best mutual fund sales in two years, signaling positive momentum in asset management. They are also seeing $6 billion of unfunded capital commitments in institutional real estate strategies projected to be called over the next 18 to 24 months.
- Specialty Benefits experienced robust growth, with 55% of premium growth coming from net new business, driven by strong sales in the small to mid-sized business market. Employment growth and wage growth contributed another 40%, emphasizing the company's competitive advantage in this segment.
- The company’s private credit business is a high-growth area, with strong investment results over the past three years. Their focus on the small and middle end of the direct lending space gives them an edge over larger competitors, positioning them well for future growth in asset management.
- Individual life margins are expected to be at the lower end of the long-term guidance range, with adjusted margin expectations of 13% to 15% for 2024.
- Per participant fee revenue in the retirement business is not showing significant growth and remains relatively constant.
- Principal Global Investors (PGI) fee rates have declined year-over-year to 28 basis points, impacted by market conditions and product mix shifts.
-
Pension Risk Transfer Sales
Q: What are your PRT sales targets for the year?
A: We had a strong start with PRT sales close to $800 million in the first quarter. We're targeting $2.5 to $3 billion in PRT sales for the full year , expecting most of that in the late third and fourth quarters. -
Fee Rate Expectations
Q: How do you see PGI fee rates trending?
A: We're comfortable managing our fee rate in the 28 to 29 basis points range. Market conditions shifted product mix, impacting revenue , but improved retail flows into higher-margin products and strong investment performance should support the fee rate. -
Positive Momentum in Flows
Q: Can you provide color on optimism for PGI flows?
A: We had a strong flow quarter, particularly in institutional real estate and fixed income, and our best mutual fund sales in two years. We see encouraging signs in retail, with interest expanding in higher-revenue equity strategies. We have $6 billion in unfunded capital commitments in institutional real estate projected to call over the next 18 to 24 months. -
Private Credit Growth
Q: How are you participating in private credit growth?
A: We've organically built our private credit business over the past three years. Focusing on the smaller and middle market direct lending space, we aim to generate attractive returns while being more risk-aware in deal selection. -
Impact of DOL Rule Changes
Q: What is the expected impact of the new DOL rule?
A: The rule will require more licensing, training, and compliance, but we haven't quantified the costs yet. We're pleased we can continue providing participant education without being considered fiduciaries, which is positive for our business. -
Specialty Benefits Performance
Q: What's driving strong Specialty Benefits sales and favorable loss ratios?
A: Strong sales were driven by paid family and medical leave products as states open new markets. We expect to remain at the lower end of our loss ratio range due to repricing and a favorable competitive environment. -
Variable Investment Income Outlook
Q: Why was variable investment income soft, and what's the outlook?
A: Income was pressured due to a $13 million lower-than-expected return from a mark-to-market on real estate funds in Principal International. We expect this to normalize, but alternative investment returns may continue to cause quarterly volatility. -
Participant Withdrawals and Interest Rates
Q: Are higher rates impacting participant withdrawals?
A: We're seeing a slight uptick in participant withdrawals, partly due to strong equity markets increasing account values. We benefit from higher rates when we capture participant rollovers into our bank products. -
Fee Revenue Composition
Q: How much of your RIS fees are asset-based vs. per participant?
A: About 80% of our RIS fee revenue is asset-based, and around 20% is non-asset-based. The fee revenue rate held steady at about 40 basis points over the trailing 12 months. -
Non-Compete Laws and Talent Recruitment
Q: How will changes in non-compete laws affect talent strategy?
A: We don't anticipate impacts on attracting or retaining talent. Our culture and competitive compensation draw top talent without relying heavily on non-compete agreements. -
Individual Life Margins
Q: Are weak individual life margins an aberration?
A: The weak margins are seen as a one-off. We expect 2024 earnings to be higher than 2023, with margins in the 13% to 15% range for most of the year.
Research analysts covering PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP.